Poll: Democrats keep a midterm edge, with warning signs. A new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll of 1,289 registered voters, taken Oct. 19-20, finds Democrats still favored to win control of the House, but with indications that a potential wave could be limited — likely voters were slightly less likely than registered voters to disapprove of President Trump. Cost of living remains the top concern: a third of respondents reported financial hardship in the past year and 4 in 10 said their finances have worsened. Immigration was the biggest issue for self-described MAGA supporters, while preserving democracy resonated with Democrats and independents.
Judge blocks further changes to D.C.'s East Potomac golf course. U.S. District Judge Ana Reyes issued a preliminary injunction barring the Trump administration from cutting or damaging trees at East Potomac Park without a court order and requiring at least 10 business days' notice before any closure or irreversible change, after the government cut down 430 trees with less than a day's notice. In a 70-page opinion, Reyes noted that the Justice Department had urged the court not to believe the president's own social media posts about renovation plans. Trump says the renovations will still begin next month.
U.S. to grant visas to Brazil's Flávio Bolsonaro. A senior administration official said Tuesday the State Department would issue visas to Flávio Bolsonaro and his family. The conservative Trump ally lost Sunday's Brazilian presidential runoff to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by more than four million votes and has refused to concede; he faces investigations in Brazil including money-laundering and tax-evasion allegations, which he denies. He arrived near Miami early Wednesday after crossing into Argentina.
Polymarket says it has probed "dozens" of election bets. Polymarket's head of investigations, Shana Bautista, told NPR the prediction market has investigated dozens of midterm-related bets for possible insider trading or manipulation, and at least two cases have been referred to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, as scrutiny of election betting grows ahead of Nov. 3.
여론조사: 민주당 중간선거 우위 유지, 다만 경고 신호도. NPR/PBS/마리스트 여론조사(10월 19~20일, 등록 유권자 1,289명)에서 민주당이 하원 탈환에 여전히 유리한 것으로 나타났지만, 투표 의향 유권자층에서는 트럼프 대통령 비지지율이 다소 낮아 '압승'은 제한적일 수 있다는 분석입니다. 응답자의 3분의 1이 지난 1년간 경제적 어려움을 겪었다고 답하는 등 생활비가 최대 관심사였습니다.
법원, 트럼프의 워싱턴 골프장 공사 제동. 아나 레예스 연방판사는 정부가 하루도 안 되는 예고 후 나무 430그루를 벤 이스트 포토맥 공원에 대해, 법원 명령 없이는 수목 훼손을 금지하고 폐쇄나 돌이킬 수 없는 변경 전 최소 10영업일 전 통보를 의무화하는 가처분을 내렸습니다. 트럼프 대통령은 공사가 다음 달 그대로 시작될 것이라고 밝혔습니다.
미국, 브라질 플라비우 보우소나루에 비자 발급. 국무부는 브라질 대선 결선에서 룰라 대통령에게 400만 표 이상 차이로 패배하고도 승복하지 않은 플라비우 보우소나루와 가족에게 비자를 발급하기로 했습니다. 그는 브라질에서 돈세탁·탈세 혐의 등으로 수사를 받고 있으며(본인은 부인), 수요일 새벽 마이애미 인근에 도착했습니다.
폴리마켓, 선거 관련 베팅 '수십 건' 조사. 예측시장 폴리마켓은 중간선거 관련 내부자 거래·조작 의심 베팅 수십 건을 조사했으며, 최소 2건은 상품선물거래위원회(CFTC)에 회부된 것으로 알려졌습니다.
Sources: NPR — "Democrats still poised to make gains, but poll shows warning signs for just how many" (Oct. 27, 2026); "A judge halted D.C. golf course renovations. Trump says they'll still start next month" (Oct. 27, 2026); "Flávio Bolsonaro arrives in Florida after fleeing Brazil" (Oct. 27-28, 2026); "Polymarket has investigated 'dozens' of election-related cases" (Oct. 27, 2026).
